Datum: 18-07-2011
De Inspectie Ontwikkelingssamenwerking en Beleidsevaluatie (IOB) van het ministerie van Buitenlandse Zaken heeft de kwijtschelding van de Nigeriaanse schuld uit 2005 geëvalueerd. De belangrijkste conclusie is dat de kwijtschelding heeft bijgedragen aan de economische groei en armoedevermindering in Nigeria, maar dat de teweeggebrachte resultaten naar verwachting niet duurzaam zijn.
Jubilee Nederland is verheugd met de onderkenning dat schuldkwijtschelding een belangrijke bijdrage levert aan armoedevermindering. Daarnaast toont dit onderzoek de noodzaak van een structurele oplossing voor schuldproblemen aan. Daarom pleit Jubilee Nederland voor de oprichting van een internationale schuldenrechtbank.
Het rapport kan gedownload worden op https://zoek.officielebekendmakingen.nl/blg-121057.pdf
Een Nederlandse samenvatting is te vinden op https://zoek.officielebekendmakingen.nl/blg-121060.pdf
Kabinetsreactie https://zoek.officielebekendmakingen.nl/kst-32500-V-195.pdf
Debt relief for Nigeria: all parties benefit
Nigeria’s position has improved, in part thanks to the debt relief agreement of 2005 with the Paris Club. Nigeria repaid USD 12 billion of the USD 30 billion it owed the members of the Paris Club; its creditors wrote off the remaining USD 18 billion. It was a controversial arrangement, because a previous IMF study had shown that Nigeria was financially capable of paying off its debts. Indeed, its oil production made it the second biggest economy in sub-Saharan Africa. The fact that it nevertheless qualified for debt relief was due to its serious attempts at economic reform and the realisation that this agreement would give creditors their best option of retrieving part of the outstanding debt.
In summary
• The intervention theory that debt relief fosters economic growth and reduces poverty appears to be valid. The agreement has influenced poverty in two ways: directly, through improved macroeconomic policy and VPF expenditure, and indirectly, through economic growth.
• Not all changes are expected to be lasting, but positive effects are nevertheless discernible; public finance management, including debt management, has improved, debt sustainability has increased and efforts to reduce poverty have been stepped up.
• According to the evaluators, parties were right to conclude the debt agreement because the benefits for Nigeria have proven substantial. Moreover, the agreement also served the interests of the creditors involved, being in line with their major priorities.
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